Silver
A weekly model on silver — the most aggressive strategy in the collection. It holds silver when conditions favor it and moves to cash to soften the metal's severe declines.
Silver is one of the most volatile assets a systematic model can trade — buy-and-hold investors endured drawdowns approaching 70% over this period. The model pursued silver's strong upside while cutting its worst drawdown roughly in half.
This is the deepest drawdown of any model here — and we show it plainly. A −37.15% worst case is significant; the point is that buy-and-hold silver investors lived through nearly −70% over the same span.
The most aggressive strategy — shown honestly.
This is the most aggressive strategy in the collection, applying the systematic approach to silver. Each week it decides whether to hold silver (via the SLV ETF) or move to cash, staying invested in favorable conditions and stepping aside during major declines.
Silver offers some of the highest return potential of any asset here, but also the deepest drawdowns — and the model reflects that: its returns are strong, but its risk profile is meaningfully higher than the other strategies. It is best suited to investors with a higher tolerance for volatility who want systematic exposure to a high-octane, diversifying asset. Its worst-case drawdown, while large in absolute terms, is roughly half what buy-and-hold silver investors experienced.
Note: because the SLV ETF launched in mid-2006, this model's track record begins then — a 20-year hypothetical history rather than the longer record of the equity and fixed-income models.
Everything an auditor would ask for.
All performance shown is hypothetical and back-tested — it does not reflect actual trading with client assets and has inherent limitations (designed with the benefit of hindsight; may not reflect the impact of real market conditions). Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Results are gross of fees; transaction / custodial fees and taxes are not reflected and would reduce results. This is not an offer to sell or a solicitation to buy any investment. Charts use representative illustrative data; final disclaimer wording to be confirmed with counsel / compliance.
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